Monday, July 23, 2007

Dow 14,000, and on up!

I meant to mention it earlier, but I did notice that the Dow Jones Average closed above 14,000 for the first time in history. Hip, hip hooray!

If you're accumulating stock, you should be sorry that the shares you are going to be buying now will be more expensive -- but only Warren Buffett and I seem to have figured that out. It seems to be immutable human nature in everyone else to place more importance on the total value of the stock shares they've already bought than on the price they're going to pay in the near future.

One reason is that we celebrate capital gains over dividends is the difference in tax treatment. This was alleviated by President Bush's tax cuts of 2003, but unfortunately that law is temporary. If Democrats are in charge in the future, they've made it known that they'll allow the lower tax rates on dividends to expire.

This would be bad, but I still advise investing for income. To get the preferential tax treatment on capital gains, you still have to realize those capital gains by selling them. And with many stocks after the baby boomers start to retire, you may not have any capital gains.

But the run up to Dow 18-20,000 foretold by Harry S. Dent seems to have begun.