Sunday, May 6, 2007

Immigration and Social Security

I'm a little late, but most of you know that on May 1 various groups advocating changes in immigration law put on rallies in cities around the country.

Immigration is an interesting issue for many reasons, and very complicated. What does it have to do with investing?

First, unless you're savings up a lot of money and investing for income, you probably will depend on Social Security for income in your old age.

Yet all projections show that once us baby boomers start retiring in large numbers, there's going to be a huge gap between what the younger generations are paying into the Social Security trust funds and what the baby boomer retirees will technically be eligible for given their work records of paying into the system while they were employed.

I'm convinced that the reason leaders in both the Republican and Democrat parties don't crack down on illegal immigration and are proposing faster routes for illegal aliens to become citizens is that they're hoping that young immigrants working and paying Social Security taxes will "rescue" the SSA system for us baby boomers.

Yes, it's true that many illegal aliens work for cash. But many have Social Security numbers or use Social Security numbers of other people. This means that FICA taxes are taken out of their paychecks and sent to the Social Security trust funds.

Every year, the Social Security Administration sends every American over the age of 25 an Earnings and Benefit Statement showing their total gross wages for the past years. If the number for a year on your statement is larger than you expect, check your W-2 forms. Maybe an illegal alien is using your number.

Horrors? Hardly -- they're increasing your eventual retirement check. You can go to your local SSA office and have them take the earnings off your earnings record . . . but guess what? The trust fund is not going to return the money to anybody! If you don't keep the credit for those earnings, nobody will -- but the government will keep the money in the trust funds.

In THE FUTURE FOR INVESTORS Dr. Jeremy Siegel states that he believes that retirements for American, European and Japanese baby boomers will be funded by young investors in India, China and other developing countries buying up the stocks and bonds of our companies.

I don't know if that's true. Or whether it's desireable if true. But I believe the government's response to the immigration situation comes from the hope that illegal aliens will eventually fund the Social Security trusts.