Friday, July 13, 2007

Chinese investment advisor blogger arrested

This story about the arrest of a Chinese investment tips blogger is interesting, and scary in several ways.

Chinese investment tips blogger arrested

First, it reveals that the Chinese government gives warnings by first arresting people. This is apparently their warning to other such people giving investment tips. This guy did apparently go beyond giving his advice, as I myself do on this blog -- he made over $1 by selling investment advice. Here in the U.S. I'd be breaking the law if I gave individual investment advice since I'm not legally qualified to do that. (Though if you want to pay me $1 million, I might consider risking the penalties! :) )

Secondly, the investing psychology of the Chinese people is a boom mentality. A few weeks ago I read an article about how some woman believed that the Chinese government would not let the stock market crash before the Olympics of 2008.

So many Chinese investors apparently think they're now getting a free ride from the stock market -- it's going to keep going up and make them rich because the government won't let it, at least before the 2008 Olympics, to keep from losing facing internationally.

They may even be right, which means the whole question becomes, will they all pull out right before/during or after the Olympics? And, who's going to pay for it all?

Thirdly, the Chinese people also want the security and comfort of taking investing advice, including tips on specific companies, from other people who supposedly are experts. I could be wrong, but I suspect that right now there're not a lot of Chinese shareholders who have heard of the Efficient Market Theory, asset allocation, diversification or the benefits of index funds.